Dender EH 0-1 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.67
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.08
6+ Goals
10%
19.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 33% vs market 30.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.82
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
12%
5.46
X/2
14%
5.65
X/X
11%
4.13
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
16%
4.03
2/X
5%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.0pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.6pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 38%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +14%
0.94/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.50
+63% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
309 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 71%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
18.1 Crosses 15.9
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
19.10.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
14.03.2009 Dender EH Dender EH 1-0 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
25.10.2008 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-2 HT 1-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
09.02.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 2-4 HT 1-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
25.08.2007 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-0 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
0-1
AWAY Cercle Brugge
0.36 xG 2.35
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
192 Passes 347
60% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge edged past Dender EH 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (41% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Cercle Brugge found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dender EH had 41% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 59%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.36 to 2.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cercle Brugge's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dender EH and 1.60 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs Cercle Brugge?

Dender EH 0-1 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dender EH win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 41%, draw 24%, Cercle Brugge 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dender EH) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dender EH) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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