PSM Makassar 1-1 PSBS Biak Numfor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY PSBS Biak Numfor EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.60/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.38
+9% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSM Makassar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY PSBS Biak Numfor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.08.2024 PSBS Biak Numfor PSBS Biak Numfor 1-2 HT 0-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSM Makassar vs PSBS Biak Numfor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSM Makassar and PSBS Biak Numfor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was PSM Makassar at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

What was the final score of PSM Makassar vs PSBS Biak Numfor?

PSM Makassar 1-1 PSBS Biak Numfor in the Indonesia League 1 on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSM Makassar vs PSBS Biak Numfor?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split PSM Makassar 46%, draw 27%, PSBS Biak Numfor 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (PSM Makassar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
18 Jan 2025
15:00 Madura United vs Barito Putera Analysis →