Madura United 2-4 Barito Putera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 18 Jan 2025

Madura United
2-4 HT 1-1
Barito Putera
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2024/2025

Madura United vs Barito Putera Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Madura United v Barito Putera — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madura United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Barito Putera EU Bookmakers 30%
-16% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -5%
1.46/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.56
+5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
256 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Madura United vs Barito Putera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madura United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Barito Putera
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
327 Passes 271
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
5 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.08.2024 Barito Putera Barito Putera 1-0 HT 1-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
10.12.2023 Madura United Madura United 4-1 HT 1-1 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
14.01.2023 Barito Putera Barito Putera 1-2 HT 1-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
23.07.2022 Madura United Madura United 8-0 HT 4-0 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
09.03.2022 Madura United Madura United 3-3 HT 0-1 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
28.11.2021 Barito Putera Barito Putera 0-3 HT 0-2 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Madura United vs Barito Putera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barito Putera beat Madura United 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Madura United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Madura United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Madura United and 1.00 for Barito Putera.

What was the final score of Madura United vs Barito Putera?

Madura United 2-4 Barito Putera in the Indonesia League 1 on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madura United vs Barito Putera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madura United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Madura United 41%, draw 30%, Barito Putera 29%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Madura United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Madura United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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