Dire Dawa Kenema 0-2 Kedus Giorgis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.4pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.5pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.5pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 45%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.82/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.81
-20% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
239 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 8
14.06.2024 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 1-0 HT 0-0 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
27.01.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 0-3 HT 0-3 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema
0-2
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dire Dawa Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kedus Giorgis saw off Dire Dawa Kenema 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (28% / 33% / 39%) promised a tight game; Kedus Giorgis found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dire Dawa Kenema had 52% of the ball to Kedus Giorgis's 48%, shots finished 4-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dire Dawa Kenema had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dire Dawa Kenema and 0.00 for Kedus Giorgis.

What was the final score of Dire Dawa Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis?

Dire Dawa Kenema 0-2 Kedus Giorgis in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kedus Giorgis win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dire Dawa Kenema 28%, draw 33%, Kedus Giorgis 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kedus Giorgis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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