Baroka 1-1 Hungry Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.6
Over 2.5
55%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.99
No
42%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
59%
-13.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
41%
+13.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
46%
+11.4pp
42%
BTTS No
54%
-11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baroka EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Hungry Lions EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
2.11/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.31
+78% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baroka
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Hungry Lions
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
6 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
27.04.2024 Hungry Lions Hungry Lions 1-2 HT 1-1 Baroka Baroka GAF1
04.11.2023 Baroka Baroka 2-0 HT 0-0 Hungry Lions Hungry Lions GAF1
23.02.2020 Baroka Baroka 2-2 HT 0-1 Hungry Lions Hungry Lions GAF8K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baroka
1-1
AWAY Hungry Lions
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baroka vs Hungry Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baroka and Hungry Lions shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Baroka at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Baroka had 65% of the ball to Hungry Lions's 35%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Baroka had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Baroka and 1.00 for Hungry Lions.

What was the final score of Baroka vs Hungry Lions?

Baroka 1-1 Hungry Lions in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baroka vs Hungry Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baroka win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Baroka 47%, draw 25%, Hungry Lions 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Baroka), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baroka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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