Twente (K) 4-1 Fortuna Sittard (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.11
Draw
26%
8.11
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.75
No
48%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
85%
-27.9pp
26%
Draw
9%
+17.1pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+10.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
32%
+19.5pp
48%
BTTS No
68%
-19.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
2.33/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/2.50
-19% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +109% / +11%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.2 Crosses 5.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
597 Passes 255
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Crosses 7
29.09.2024 Fortuna Sittard (K) Fortuna Sittard (K) 1-3 HT 1-3 Twente (K) Twente (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente (K)
4-1
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K)
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
363 Passes 290
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH Twente (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente (K) cruised past Fortuna Sittard (K) 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Twente (K) as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Twente (K) had 53% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard (K)'s 47%, shots finished 21-6.

What was the final score of Twente (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)?

Twente (K) 4-1 Fortuna Sittard (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Twente (K) 57%, draw 26%, Fortuna Sittard (K) 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Twente (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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