Manchester United U21 2-1 Aston Villa U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.31
No
38%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.5pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.1pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-10.0pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.80/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
-31% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.9 Crosses 20.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United U21
2-1
AWAY Aston Villa U21
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
329 Passes 393
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Manchester United U21 vs Aston Villa U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United U21 edged past Aston Villa U21 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Manchester United U21 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Manchester United U21 had 45% of the ball to Aston Villa U21's 55%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Manchester United U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

Manchester United U21 2-1 Aston Villa U21 in the INGPL2 on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Manchester United U21 45%, draw 27%, Aston Villa U21 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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