Ards FC 4-2 Armagh City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.39
2-3 Goals
49%
1.86
4-5 Goals
19%
2.72
6+ Goals
8%
7.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.1pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Armagh City EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.50/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.18
-23% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
323 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Armagh City
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.10.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 3-1 Armagh City Armagh City KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Armagh City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC saw off Armagh City 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ards FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Armagh City?

Ards FC 4-2 Armagh City in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Armagh City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 41%, draw 24%, Armagh City 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ards FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ards FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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