Sabah 1-1 Pahang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malaysia - Cup, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Pahang EU Bookmakers 24%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +107%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
468 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Pahang
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
09.08.2024 Pahang Pahang 2-3 HT 1-3 Sabah Sabah MALES
15.07.2023 Sabah Sabah 4-0 HT 2-0 Pahang Pahang MALES
12.03.2023 Pahang Pahang 1-1 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah MALES
11.10.2022 Pahang Pahang 1-2 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah MALES
28.07.2021 Sabah Sabah 2-2 HT 0-0 Pahang Pahang MALES
16.03.2021 Pahang Pahang 2-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah MALES
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Pahang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah and Pahang couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sabah at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sabah and 1.33 for Pahang.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Pahang?

Sabah 1-1 Pahang in the Malaysia - Cup on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Pahang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sabah 50%, draw 22%, Pahang 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sabah), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sabah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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