Portimonense 3-2 Felgueiras 1932 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
49%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
16.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
30%
-5.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
49%
Away Win
41%
+7.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.32/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.20
+23% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.2 Crosses 11.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.17 xG 1.24
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 2
1 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 8
163 Passes 123
63% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.08.2024 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 0-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense
3-2
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
1.05 xG 1.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
275 Passes 78
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
11 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Portimonense vs Felgueiras 1932
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense edged past Felgueiras 1932 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Felgueiras 1932 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Portimonense had 54% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 46%, shots finished 7-5, expected goals 1.05 to 1.76 — the balance of chances actually favoured Felgueiras 1932.

What was the final score of Portimonense vs Felgueiras 1932?

Portimonense 3-2 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense vs Felgueiras 1932?

Before kick-off our model rated an Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 24%, draw 27%, Felgueiras 1932 49%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Felgueiras 1932), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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