Alverca 2-0 Porto II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alverca EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto II EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alverca
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Porto II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 0.97
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
182 Passes 456
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.08.2024 Porto II Porto II 1-1 HT 0-1 Alverca Alverca POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alverca
2-0
AWAY Porto II
1.81 xG 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 10
268 Passes 318
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alverca vs Porto II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alverca got the better of Porto II 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alverca as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Alverca had 48% of the ball to Porto II's 52%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.81 to 1.00.

What was the final score of Alverca vs Porto II?

Alverca 2-0 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alverca vs Porto II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alverca win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alverca 43%, draw 27%, Porto II 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alverca), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alverca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
18 Jan 2025
17:00 Portimonense vs Felgueiras 1932 Analysis →
18:30 CD Feirense vs Torreense Analysis →