Porto II vs Alverca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Porto II v Alverca — Team-Based Signals
Porto II 1-1 Alverca — Actual Match Statistics
Porto II and Alverca shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Porto II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Porto II had 63% of the ball to Alverca's 37%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.97 to 1.29.
What was the final score of Porto II vs Alverca?
Porto II 1-1 Alverca in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Porto II vs Alverca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Porto II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Porto II 44%, draw 29%, Alverca 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Porto II), BTTS No went the other way.