Torreense 0-1 CD Feirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.85
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.1
6+ Goals
9%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 30%
-10% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -7%
1.46/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.37
-32% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses 16.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense
2W-0D-1L
AWAY CD Feirense
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.10 xG 1.15
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
309 Passes 410
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2024 Torreense Torreense 2-1 HT 2-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
07.01.2024 CD Feirense CD Feirense 3-1 HT 1-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
23.01.2023 Torreense Torreense 4-2 HT 2-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense
0-1
AWAY CD Feirense
1.01 xG 1.99
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
233 Passes 390
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torreense vs CD Feirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Feirense squeezed past Torreense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Torreense at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Torreense had 37% of the ball to CD Feirense's 63%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 1.01 to 1.99.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Torreense had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Torreense and 2.00 for CD Feirense.

What was the final score of Torreense vs CD Feirense?

Torreense 0-1 CD Feirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense vs CD Feirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torreense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Torreense 43%, draw 27%, CD Feirense 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Torreense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torreense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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