Torreense 2-1 CD Feirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.19
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 43%
-16% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
1.32/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.20
-22% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.3 Crosses 17.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense
1W-0D-1L
AWAY CD Feirense
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.84 xG 0.98
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
310 Passes 447
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.01.2024 CD Feirense CD Feirense 3-1 HT 1-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
23.01.2023 Torreense Torreense 4-2 HT 2-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense
2-1
AWAY CD Feirense
1.62 xG 1.47
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 12
307 Passes 336
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Crosses 35
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torreense vs CD Feirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense edged past CD Feirense 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Torreense found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Torreense had 48% of the ball to CD Feirense's 52%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.62 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Torreense and 2.50 for CD Feirense.

What was the final score of Torreense vs CD Feirense?

Torreense 2-1 CD Feirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense vs CD Feirense?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Feirense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Torreense 35%, draw 27%, CD Feirense 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Feirense), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Feirense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
11 May 2024
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