CD Feirense 3-1 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.35
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
13%
4.69
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.35 — our 36% vs market 34.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.3pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.7pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.23/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.25
+15% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.2 Crosses 18.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Feirense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Torreense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.24 xG 0.89
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
441 Passes 328
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 3
23.01.2023 Torreense Torreense 4-2 HT 2-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Feirense
3-1
AWAY Torreense
0.73 xG 0.80
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
453 Passes 292
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
8 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CD Feirense vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Feirense saw off Torreense 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; CD Feirense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Feirense had 59% of the ball to Torreense's 41%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.73 to 0.80.

What was the final score of CD Feirense vs Torreense?

CD Feirense 3-1 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Feirense vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torreense win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split CD Feirense 33%, draw 31%, Torreense 36%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Torreense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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