Serik Belediyespor 2-2 Ankara Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.91
Over
37%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
40%
4-5
17%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
48%
+15.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
52%
-15.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.1pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Serik Belediyespor The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Ankara Demirspor The Market 22%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.57/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.15
+2% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Serik Belediyespor
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Ankara Demirspor
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
59% Ball Possession 41%
5 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.09.2024 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Serik Belediyespor T2L-K
06.03.2024 Serik Belediyespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor S2-B
22.10.2023 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Serik Belediyespor S2-B
04.09.2022 Serik Belediyespor 1-1 HT 0-0 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Serik Belediyespor
2-2
AWAY Ankara Demirspor
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Serik Belediyespor vs Ankara Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Serik Belediyespor and Ankara Demirspor couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Serik Belediyespor at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Serik Belediyespor had 59% of the ball to Ankara Demirspor's 41%, shots finished 8-4.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Serik Belediyespor and 0.75 for Ankara Demirspor.

What was the final score of Serik Belediyespor vs Ankara Demirspor?

Serik Belediyespor 2-2 Ankara Demirspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Serik Belediyespor vs Ankara Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Serik Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Serik Belediyespor 49%, draw 25%, Ankara Demirspor 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Serik Belediyespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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