Ankara Demirspor 1-1 Serik Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+1.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ankara Demirspor EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Serik Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 46%
+53% / +53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+89% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ankara Demirspor
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Serik Belediyespor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
3 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2024 Serik Belediyespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor S2-B
22.10.2023 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Serik Belediyespor S2-B
04.09.2022 Serik Belediyespor 1-1 HT 0-0 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ankara Demirspor
1-1
AWAY Serik Belediyespor
4 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ankara Demirspor vs Serik Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ankara Demirspor and Serik Belediyespor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Serik Belediyespor at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 4-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ankara Demirspor and 0.67 for Serik Belediyespor.

What was the final score of Ankara Demirspor vs Serik Belediyespor?

Ankara Demirspor 1-1 Serik Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ankara Demirspor vs Serik Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Serik Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ankara Demirspor 28%, draw 28%, Serik Belediyespor 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Serik Belediyespor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Serik Belediyespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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