Arnavutköy Belediye 1-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.2pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye
1-1
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arnavutköy Belediye vs Karacabey Belediye Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arnavutköy Belediye and Karacabey Belediye Spor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Arnavutköy Belediye had 43% of the ball to Karacabey Belediye Spor's 57%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Arnavutköy Belediye vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Arnavutköy Belediye 1-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arnavutköy Belediye vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arnavutköy Belediye win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Arnavutköy Belediye 38%, draw 29%, Karacabey Belediye Spor 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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