Erbaaspor 1-2 Bucaspor 1928 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.64
Over 2.5
34%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
24%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-0.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-2.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
57%
+9.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
43%
-9.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.8pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbaaspor EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucaspor 1928 EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +94%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
254 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erbaaspor
1-2
AWAY Bucaspor 1928
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Erbaaspor vs Bucaspor 1928
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bucaspor 1928 edged past Erbaaspor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bucaspor 1928 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Erbaaspor had 41% of the ball to Bucaspor 1928's 59%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of Erbaaspor vs Bucaspor 1928?

Erbaaspor 1-2 Bucaspor 1928 in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erbaaspor vs Bucaspor 1928?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bucaspor 1928 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Erbaaspor 22%, draw 31%, Bucaspor 1928 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bucaspor 1928) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bucaspor 1928) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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