Heerenveen (K) 3-2 AZ (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 18 Jan 2026

Heerenveen (K)
3-2 HT 2-1
AZ (K)
📅18/01/2026 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Heerenveen (K) vs AZ (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
55%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.9pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
55%
Away Win
61%
-5.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heerenveen (K) v AZ (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heerenveen (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
0.65/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/0.95
+17% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.0 Crosses 15.1
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.4

Heerenveen (K) vs AZ (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY AZ (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
297 Passes 310
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.03.2025 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) 2-3 HT 2-1 AZ (K) AZ (K) HOLK1
24.11.2024 AZ (K) AZ (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) HOLK1

Heerenveen (K) 3-2 AZ (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen (K)
3-2
AWAY AZ (K)
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 20
8 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
266 Passes 317
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Heerenveen (K) vs AZ (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heerenveen (K) squeezed past AZ (K) 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had AZ (K) at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Heerenveen (K) had 46% of the ball to AZ (K)'s 54%, shots finished 9-20.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AZ (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Heerenveen (K) and 2.00 for AZ (K).

What was the final score of Heerenveen (K) vs AZ (K)?

Heerenveen (K) 3-2 AZ (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heerenveen (K) vs AZ (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an AZ (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen (K) 22%, draw 23%, AZ (K) 55%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AZ (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AZ (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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