Fajr Sepasi 2-1 Persepolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 18 Jan 2026

📅18/01/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.46
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
48%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.4
No
53%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.84
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
14%
6.9
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-3.0pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.9pp
48%
Away Win
42%
+5.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
38%
+9.4pp
53%
BTTS No
62%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fajr Sepasi EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Persepolis EU Bookmakers 46%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
0.77/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.63
-3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fajr Sepasi
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Persepolis
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.08.2025 Persepolis Persepolis 1-1 HT 0-1 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRAN
02.06.2022 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi 0-1 HT 0-1 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
13.01.2022 Persepolis Persepolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRAN
POST-MATCH Fajr Sepasi vs Persepolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fajr Sepasi squeezed past Persepolis 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Persepolis at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Persepolis led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Fajr Sepasi and 1.00 for Persepolis.

What was the final score of Fajr Sepasi vs Persepolis?

Fajr Sepasi 2-1 Persepolis in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fajr Sepasi vs Persepolis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Persepolis win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fajr Sepasi 22%, draw 30%, Persepolis 48%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Persepolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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