Real Madriz 0-3 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 18 Jan 2026

Real Madriz
0-3 HT 0-1
Real Esteli
📅18/01/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Nikaragua - Premier League – 2025/2026

Real Madriz vs Real Esteli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
5.91
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
71%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
3%
X/2
27%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
14%
-1.9pp
17%
Draw
20%
-2.9pp
71%
Away Win
66%
+4.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.0pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Madriz v Real Esteli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madriz EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 70%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
0.85/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.97
-19% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Real Madriz vs Real Esteli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madriz
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Real Esteli
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2025 Real Madriz Real Madriz 1-3 HT 1-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
20.03.2022 Real Esteli Real Esteli 4-0 HT 3-0 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
06.02.2022 Real Madriz Real Madriz 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
11.10.2021 Real Madriz Real Madriz 1-2 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
08.08.2021 Real Esteli Real Esteli 3-0 HT 0-0 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
01.04.2021 Real Esteli Real Esteli 0-3 HT 0-0 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
POST-MATCH Real Madriz vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli cruised past Real Madriz 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Madriz and 2.00 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Real Madriz vs Real Esteli?

Real Madriz 0-3 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madriz vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Real Madriz 12%, draw 17%, Real Esteli 71%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
18 Jan 2026
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