Vitoria Guimaraes II 1-0 Fafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 18 Jan 2026

📅18/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.68
Over
46%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
38%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes II The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Fafe The Market 39%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.00 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.15
1.58 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.71
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Bad Defensevs comparable teams Bad
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
240 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes II
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Fafe
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
25.10.2025 Fafe Fafe 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II POR3
11.02.2023 Fafe Fafe 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II POR3
30.10.2022 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II 1-2 HT 0-1 Fafe Fafe POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes II
1-0
AWAY Fafe
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Fafe
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Vitoria Guimaraes II edged past Fafe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

From a near-even 35% / 25% / 40% read, it was Vitoria Guimaraes II who turned the coin-flip their way.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.82, about 55%.

The match data tells the story: Vitoria Guimaraes II had 51% of the ball to Fafe's 49%, shots finished 5-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fafe led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes II and 1.33 for Fafe.

Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Fafe Result & Final Score

Vitoria Guimaraes II 1-0 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Fafe Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes II 35%, draw 25%, Fafe 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fafe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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