Fafe 1-0 Vitoria Guimaraes II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fafe EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II EU Bookmakers 23%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.15/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.16
-24% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fafe
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
11.02.2023 Fafe Fafe 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II POR3
30.10.2022 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II 1-2 HT 0-1 Fafe Fafe POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
1-0
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Fafe vs Vitoria Guimaraes II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fafe nicked a narrow win over Vitoria Guimaraes II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fafe as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Fafe had 46% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes II's 54%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fafe had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fafe and 0.50 for Vitoria Guimaraes II.

What was the final score of Fafe vs Vitoria Guimaraes II?

Fafe 1-0 Vitoria Guimaraes II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fafe vs Vitoria Guimaraes II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Fafe 55%, draw 24%, Vitoria Guimaraes II 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fafe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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