Sao Joao Ver 1-0 Sporting Braga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.3pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.7pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.7pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
0.83/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.96
-35% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Joao Ver
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sporting Braga II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 3-3 HT 1-2 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
15.03.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
10.11.2024 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
10.08.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-0 HT 1-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
12.03.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-0 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
03.12.2022 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Joao Ver
1-0
AWAY Sporting Braga II
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sao Joao Ver vs Sporting Braga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Joao Ver squeezed past Sporting Braga II 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Sao Joao Ver made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 33% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 67%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sao Joao Ver and 1.33 for Sporting Braga II.

What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Sporting Braga II?

Sao Joao Ver 1-0 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Sporting Braga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Joao Ver win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 35%, draw 32%, Sporting Braga II 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Joao Ver), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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