Sporting Braga II 3-3 Sao Joao Ver — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 37%
+14% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.99/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.78
-25% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga II
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
10.11.2024 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
10.08.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-0 HT 1-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
12.03.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-0 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
03.12.2022 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga II
3-3
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga II vs Sao Joao Ver
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga II and Sao Joao Ver couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Braga II had 49% of the ball to Sao Joao Ver's 51%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting Braga II and 0.40 for Sao Joao Ver.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs Sao Joao Ver?

Sporting Braga II 3-3 Sao Joao Ver in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs Sao Joao Ver?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 39%, draw 27%, Sao Joao Ver 34%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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