Sao Joao Ver 1-1 Sporting Braga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.98/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.10
-26% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Joao Ver
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Sporting Braga II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-0 HT 1-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
12.03.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-0 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
03.12.2022 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Joao Ver
1-1
AWAY Sporting Braga II
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sao Joao Ver vs Sporting Braga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Joao Ver and Sporting Braga II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 61% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 39%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga II led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sao Joao Ver and 1.33 for Sporting Braga II.

What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Sporting Braga II?

Sao Joao Ver 1-1 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Sporting Braga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Joao Ver win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 37%, draw 28%, Sporting Braga II 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sao Joao Ver), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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