Atletico CP 1-0 Uniao Santarem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 27%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.31/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.00
+0% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico CP
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Uniao Santarem
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
1-0
AWAY Uniao Santarem
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Uniao Santarem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico CP squeezed past Uniao Santarem 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico CP as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atletico CP had 49% of the ball to Uniao Santarem's 51%, shots finished 16-5.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Uniao Santarem?

Atletico CP 1-0 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Uniao Santarem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 44%, draw 30%, Uniao Santarem 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico CP), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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