Sporting Covilha vs Academica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Covilha v Academica — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Covilha vs Academica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Sporting Covilha
POR3
2-0
HT 0-0
Academica
POR2
Sporting Covilha 3-4 Academica — Actual Match Statistics
Academica nicked a narrow win over Sporting Covilha 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Academica as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Sporting Covilha had 59% of the ball to Academica's 41%, shots finished 18-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Covilha had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sporting Covilha and 0.67 for Academica.
What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Academica?
Sporting Covilha 3-4 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Academica?
Before kick-off our model rated an Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 29%, draw 27%, Academica 44%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academica) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.