Academica vs Sporting Covilha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Academica v Sporting Covilha — Team-Based Signals
Academica vs Sporting Covilha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Sporting Covilha
POR3
2-0
HT 0-0
Academica
POR2
3-0
HT 1-0
Sporting Covilha
POR2
Academica 1-1 Sporting Covilha — Actual Match Statistics
Academica and Sporting Covilha shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Academica at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, Academica had 59% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 41%, shots finished 13-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Covilha led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Academica and 1.33 for Sporting Covilha.
What was the final score of Academica vs Sporting Covilha?
Academica 1-1 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Academica vs Sporting Covilha?
Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Academica 44%, draw 28%, Sporting Covilha 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Academica), BTTS No went the other way.