Lusitania FC Lourosa 3-2 Anadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-12.7pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.1pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Anadia EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.59/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.72
+64% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
418 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Anadia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 Anadia Anadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa POR3
08.10.2023 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa 4-0 HT 0-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa
3-2
AWAY Anadia
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Anadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitania FC Lourosa squeezed past Anadia 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lusitania FC Lourosa as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 58% of the ball to Anadia's 42%, shots finished 19-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lusitania FC Lourosa had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lusitania FC Lourosa and 0.00 for Anadia.

What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Anadia?

Lusitania FC Lourosa 3-2 Anadia in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Anadia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 47%, draw 30%, Anadia 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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