Amarante 1-0 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amarante EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amarante
1-0
AWAY Trofense
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amarante vs Trofense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amarante edged past Trofense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Amarante found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Amarante had 48% of the ball to Trofense's 52%, shots finished 9-15.

What was the final score of Amarante vs Trofense?

Amarante 1-0 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amarante vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amarante win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Amarante 39%, draw 26%, Trofense 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amarante), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Amarante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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