Caldas vs Lusitania Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caldas v Lusitania — Team-Based Signals
Caldas 1-0 Lusitania — Actual Match Statistics
Caldas squeezed past Lusitania 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Caldas as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Caldas had 51% of the ball to Lusitania's 49%, shots finished 13-9.
What was the final score of Caldas vs Lusitania?
Caldas 1-0 Lusitania in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caldas vs Lusitania?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Caldas 43%, draw 27%, Lusitania 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caldas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.