Sporting Covilha 1-1 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 42%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.23/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.64
+80% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +92%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Covilha
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Academica
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.69 xG 0.68
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
292 Passes 317
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.02.2024 Academica Academica 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
21.01.2024 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 3-2 HT 2-1 Academica Academica POR3
06.10.2023 Academica Academica 0-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
10.04.2022 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 2-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR2
28.11.2021 Academica Academica 3-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR2
02.04.2021 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 1-1 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Covilha
1-1
AWAY Academica
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Covilha vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Covilha and Academica couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sporting Covilha had 45% of the ball to Academica's 55%, shots finished 18-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Covilha had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting Covilha and 1.00 for Academica.

What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Academica?

Sporting Covilha 1-1 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 33%, draw 29%, Academica 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Academica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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