Oliveira Hospital 4-0 Amora FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
20%
3.18
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.2pp
20%
Draw
28%
-7.8pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oliveira Hospital EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Amora FC EU Bookmakers 39%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.47/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/0.65
+17% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +90%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oliveira Hospital
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Amora FC
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Amora FC Amora FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
11.11.2023 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 0-4 HT 0-0 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
13.08.2023 Amora FC Amora FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
28.01.2023 Amora FC Amora FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
08.10.2022 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 0-2 HT 0-0 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oliveira Hospital
4-0
AWAY Amora FC
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oliveira Hospital vs Amora FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oliveira Hospital cruised past Amora FC 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Oliveira Hospital as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Oliveira Hospital had 44% of the ball to Amora FC's 56%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Amora FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Oliveira Hospital and 1.80 for Amora FC.

What was the final score of Oliveira Hospital vs Amora FC?

Oliveira Hospital 4-0 Amora FC in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oliveira Hospital vs Amora FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oliveira Hospital win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Oliveira Hospital 43%, draw 20%, Amora FC 37%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oliveira Hospital) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oliveira Hospital) ✗ BTTS Yes
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