Canelas 2010 1-1 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canelas 2010 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 32%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.39/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.04
+11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canelas 2010
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sanjoanense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
03.03.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-1 HT 1-0 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 POR3
12.11.2023 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 1-2 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
12.08.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-2 HT 0-1 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 POR3
11.02.2023 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 2-3 HT 1-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
30.10.2022 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-1 HT 2-0 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 POR3
11.10.2020 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-0 HT 0-0 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canelas 2010
1-1
AWAY Sanjoanense
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Canelas 2010 vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canelas 2010 and Sanjoanense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Canelas 2010 had 59% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 41%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanjoanense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Canelas 2010 and 1.33 for Sanjoanense.

What was the final score of Canelas 2010 vs Sanjoanense?

Canelas 2010 1-1 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canelas 2010 vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Canelas 2010 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Canelas 2010 38%, draw 30%, Sanjoanense 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Canelas 2010) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Canelas 2010) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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