Varzim vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Varzim v Lusitania FC Lourosa — Team-Based Signals
Varzim vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Varzim 4-3 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Actual Match Statistics
Varzim squeezed past Lusitania FC Lourosa 4-3. It stood 3-3 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. A 7-goal game — the defences never settled.
A gentle 43% lean on Lusitania FC Lourosa didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, Lusitania FC Lourosa saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 9-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Varzim against 0.67 for Lusitania FC Lourosa.
Varzim vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Result & Final Score
Varzim 4 - 3 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - Liga 3 on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Varzim vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Varzim 29%, draw 29%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 43%. The final score 4-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.