Trofense 1-0 Amarante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Amarante EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.31/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.27
+2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Amarante
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Amarante Amarante 1-0 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
1-0
AWAY Amarante
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trofense vs Amarante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trofense nicked a narrow win over Amarante 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Trofense found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Trofense had 44% of the ball to Amarante's 56%, shots finished 7-14.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Amarante?

Trofense 1-0 Amarante in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Amarante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Trofense 40%, draw 26%, Amarante 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trofense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trofense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
10 Nov 2024
15:00 Lusitania vs Caldas Analysis →
18:00 Sao Joao Ver vs Sporting Braga II Analysis →
18:00 Oliveira Hospital vs Sporting CP II Analysis →
18:00 Atletico CP vs Uniao Santarem Analysis →
18:00 Sporting Covilha vs Academica Analysis →
20:00 Anadia vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Analysis →