Anadia 0-3 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
40%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
27%
+9.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-7.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anadia EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 51%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.57/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.00
+32% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
259 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anadia
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2024 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa 3-2 HT 1-2 Anadia Anadia POR3
21.01.2024 Anadia Anadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa POR3
08.10.2023 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa 4-0 HT 0-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anadia
0-3
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 8
POST-MATCH Anadia vs Lusitania FC Lourosa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitania FC Lourosa swept aside Anadia 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Lusitania FC Lourosa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Anadia had 58% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 42%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lusitania FC Lourosa led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Anadia and 2.33 for Lusitania FC Lourosa.

What was the final score of Anadia vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Anadia 0-3 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anadia vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Anadia 37%, draw 23%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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