Varzim vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Varzim v Lusitania FC Lourosa — Team-Based Signals
Varzim vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Varzim
POR3
Varzim 4-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Actual Match Statistics
Varzim swept aside Lusitania FC Lourosa 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Varzim found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Varzim had 46% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 54%, shots finished 8-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Varzim and 1.17 for Lusitania FC Lourosa.
What was the final score of Varzim vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?
Varzim 4-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Varzim vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Varzim 39%, draw 27%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.