Varzim vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Varzim v Lusitania FC Lourosa — Team-Based Signals
Varzim vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Varzim
POR3
3-0
HT 1-0
Lusitania FC Lourosa
POR3
Varzim 1-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Actual Match Statistics
Varzim nicked a narrow win over Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Lusitania FC Lourosa at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Varzim had 50% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 50%, shots finished 5-13.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Varzim had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Varzim and 1.25 for Lusitania FC Lourosa.
What was the final score of Varzim vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?
Varzim 1-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Varzim vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Varzim 29%, draw 28%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) went the other way.