Varzim 1-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Portugal - Liga 3, 16 Aug 2024

Varzim Elo 1572 · World #953 (clubs) LLWWL→
1 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Lusitania FC Lourosa Elo 1630 · World #570 (clubs) WWLLW→
📅16/08/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Portugal - Liga 3 – 2024/2025

Varzim vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 12:39
Match Result
Home
27%
2.96
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
44%
2.2
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
56%
1.71
Over
44%
2.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.87
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
46%
4-5
19%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
2%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Varzim v Lusitania FC Lourosa — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Varzim The Market 34%
Signal
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa The Market 45%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.20 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.39
1.47 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.96
Great Attack Strength Strong
Bad Defense Strength Average
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
295 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 2

Varzim vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varzim
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Varzim Varzim 4-3 HT 3-3 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa POR3
11.02.2024 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-0 HT 1-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
08.12.2023 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-1 HT 1-1 Varzim Varzim POR3
25.08.2023 Varzim Varzim 3-0 HT 1-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa POR3

Varzim 1-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
1 - 0
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Varzim vs Lusitania FC Lourosa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Varzim nicked a narrow win over Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

We leaned Lusitania FC Lourosa at 44% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Varzim had 50% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 50%, shots finished 5-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Varzim had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Varzim and 1.25 for Lusitania FC Lourosa.

Varzim vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Result & Final Score

Varzim 1 - 0 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - Liga 3 on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Varzim vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Varzim 27%, draw 29%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) ✓ Under 2.5
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