Vilaverdense 1-2 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 49%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -61% / -61%
0.95/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-26% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -64%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
235 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vilaverdense
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sanjoanense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-1 HT 2-0 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
09.11.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-0 HT 1-0 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
10.08.2024 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 1-1 HT 0-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
30.04.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-0 HT 0-0 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
08.04.2023 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 2-0 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
05.02.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-1 HT 1-1 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vilaverdense
1-2
AWAY Sanjoanense
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vilaverdense vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanjoanense squeezed past Vilaverdense 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sanjoanense as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vilaverdense had 51% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 49%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanjoanense led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vilaverdense and 0.83 for Sanjoanense.

What was the final score of Vilaverdense vs Sanjoanense?

Vilaverdense 1-2 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilaverdense vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanjoanense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vilaverdense 30%, draw 29%, Sanjoanense 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanjoanense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanjoanense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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