Academica 2-1 Oliveira Hospital — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Oliveira Hospital EU Bookmakers 28%
-25% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -23%
0.96/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.79
-29% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academica
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Oliveira Hospital
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
16.03.2025 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 2-2 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR3
30.11.2024 Academica Academica 2-2 HT 0-1 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
18.08.2024 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 1-1 HT 1-0 Academica Academica POR3
09.12.2023 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 1-0 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
24.09.2023 Academica Academica 3-2 HT 2-0 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POK
27.08.2023 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 1-1 HT 0-1 Academica Academica POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
2-1
AWAY Oliveira Hospital
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Academica vs Oliveira Hospital
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica edged past Oliveira Hospital 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Academica as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Academica had 53% of the ball to Oliveira Hospital's 47%, shots finished 16-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academica had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Academica and 1.33 for Oliveira Hospital.

What was the final score of Academica vs Oliveira Hospital?

Academica 2-1 Oliveira Hospital in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs Oliveira Hospital?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Academica 48%, draw 26%, Oliveira Hospital 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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