Oliveira Hospital 2-2 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+7.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oliveira Hospital EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.94/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.85
+57% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oliveira Hospital
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Academica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Academica Academica 2-2 HT 0-1 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
18.08.2024 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 1-1 HT 1-0 Academica Academica POR3
09.12.2023 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 1-0 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
24.09.2023 Academica Academica 3-2 HT 2-0 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POK
27.08.2023 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 1-1 HT 0-1 Academica Academica POR3
05.03.2023 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 0-0 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oliveira Hospital
2-2
AWAY Academica
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Oliveira Hospital vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oliveira Hospital and Academica shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Oliveira Hospital had 46% of the ball to Academica's 54%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academica led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Oliveira Hospital and 1.50 for Academica.

What was the final score of Oliveira Hospital vs Academica?

Oliveira Hospital 2-2 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oliveira Hospital vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Oliveira Hospital 35%, draw 29%, Academica 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Academica), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
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