Uniao Santarem 0-0 Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldas EU Bookmakers 33%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.51/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.78
+19% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao Santarem
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Caldas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 5
15.12.2024 Caldas Caldas 0-3 HT 0-1 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
01.09.2024 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 0-1 HT 0-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao Santarem
0-0
AWAY Caldas
53% Ball Possession 47%
2 Total Shots 5
0 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Uniao Santarem vs Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao Santarem and Caldas fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Uniao Santarem at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Uniao Santarem had 53% of the ball to Caldas's 47%, shots finished 2-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Uniao Santarem and 0.50 for Caldas.

What was the final score of Uniao Santarem vs Caldas?

Uniao Santarem 0-0 Caldas in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao Santarem vs Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao Santarem win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Uniao Santarem 42%, draw 26%, Caldas 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Uniao Santarem) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uniao Santarem) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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