Caldas 0-3 Uniao Santarem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldas EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.23/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.00
-5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
231 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caldas
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Uniao Santarem
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 10
01.09.2024 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 0-1 HT 0-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldas
0-3
AWAY Uniao Santarem
67% Ball Possession 33%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Caldas vs Uniao Santarem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao Santarem cruised past Caldas 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Uniao Santarem made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Caldas had 67% of the ball to Uniao Santarem's 33%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of Caldas vs Uniao Santarem?

Caldas 0-3 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldas vs Uniao Santarem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Caldas 40%, draw 27%, Uniao Santarem 33%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Caldas), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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