Amarante vs Varzim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Amarante v Varzim — Team-Based Signals
Amarante vs Varzim Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Amarante 0-1 Varzim — Actual Match Statistics
Varzim edged past Amarante 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Amarante at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Amarante had 56% of the ball to Varzim's 44%, shots finished 9-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Amarante had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Amarante and 0.50 for Varzim.
What was the final score of Amarante vs Varzim?
Amarante 0-1 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Amarante vs Varzim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Amarante win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Amarante 46%, draw 27%, Varzim 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Amarante) went the other way.