Sporting Braga II vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Braga II v Lusitania FC Lourosa — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Braga II vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
5-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Braga II
POR3
0-1
HT 0-1
Lusitania FC Lourosa
POR3
Sporting Braga II 1-2 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitania FC Lourosa squeezed past Sporting Braga II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Lusitania FC Lourosa made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sporting Braga II had 56% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 44%, shots finished 11-6.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lusitania FC Lourosa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Sporting Braga II and 2.40 for Lusitania FC Lourosa.
What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?
Sporting Braga II 1-2 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 38%, draw 29%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.