Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Sporting Braga II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lusitania FC Lourosa v Sporting Braga II — Team-Based Signals
Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Sporting Braga II Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
5-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Braga II
POR3
0-1
HT 0-1
Lusitania FC Lourosa
POR3
Lusitania FC Lourosa 3-2 Sporting Braga II — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitania FC Lourosa edged past Sporting Braga II 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Lusitania FC Lourosa as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 51% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 49%, shots finished 11-13.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lusitania FC Lourosa had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Lusitania FC Lourosa and 0.67 for Sporting Braga II.
What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Sporting Braga II?
Lusitania FC Lourosa 3-2 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Sporting Braga II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 43%, draw 25%, Sporting Braga II 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.