Vianense 0-1 Anadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
15%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vianense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Anadia EU Bookmakers 39%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.62/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.36
-52% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vianense
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Anadia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Anadia Anadia 2-0 HT 1-0 Vianense Vianense POR3
07.01.2024 Anadia Anadia 2-0 HT 1-0 Vianense Vianense POR3
16.09.2023 Vianense Vianense 1-2 HT 0-1 Anadia Anadia POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vianense
0-1
AWAY Anadia
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vianense vs Anadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anadia squeezed past Vianense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vianense at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vianense had 38% of the ball to Anadia's 62%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Anadia led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Vianense and 2.00 for Anadia.

What was the final score of Vianense vs Anadia?

Vianense 0-1 Anadia in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vianense vs Anadia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vianense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vianense 41%, draw 26%, Anadia 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vianense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vianense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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